I win my WSOP Fantasy prop bet with Billy, but it's a pretty joyless victory. My favorite player gets sucked out on to finish 6th ... yet another disappointing Main Event finish for Ivey. Ouch.
Showing posts with label Fantasy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fantasy. Show all posts
Sunday, November 8, 2009
A-Q Gets Ivey Again
Pretty brutal. I followed the WSOP Main Event updates, and it seemed like Phil Ivey was really being patient and picking his spots. Finally he ends up getting it in with A-K and Darvin Moon deciding to tango with A-Q. A Queen spikes right away on the flop, and it's bye bye Mr. Greatest Player on Earth.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Phillip D. Ivey makes the Main Event Final Table
As often has been the case with proposition bets between my blogmate Billy and myself, our World Series of Poker Fantasy League has come right down to the wire. With the card player formerly known as No Home Jerome making the November Nine, it looks like I've got a bit of a sweat.
The way that our league is structured, Ivey needs to take at least third place in order for Billy to pass me in the points and win the league. But if Phil continues to make mistakes like this, my lead might be pretty safe. We will find out in two weeks ...
The way that our league is structured, Ivey needs to take at least third place in order for Billy to pass me in the points and win the league. But if Phil continues to make mistakes like this, my lead might be pretty safe. We will find out in two weeks ...
Thursday, July 2, 2009
Fantasy Update
My, how things have turned! Billy got off to an insanely hot start with Phil Ivey winning two bracelets and Daniel making two final tables as well. He was running away with it early on, as all I had to show for my team were a bunch of near-misses and heartbreaks. If we had bet instead on cashes without final tabling, I would already have won handily.
But I made a YOOGE comeback. After being down some 40-odd points, I have roared back to open up a nine-point advantage, thanks to Erik Seidel, Roland de Wolfe (who won his first bracelet and completed the so-called 'Triple Crown of Poker"), and Barry Greenstein all making two final tables each. J.C. Tran ran over his final table on his way to a bracelet as well, and David Williams, Max Pescatori, and Matt Glantz all chipped in.
Now I just have to fade the Main Event and I'm home free. But even though the Main Event is such a ridiculous beast that it's conceivable that no name pro will ever win it again, with the way I run in prop bets against Billy, I won't feel safe until he is drawing completely dead.
(I did allow myself a bit of a gloat, however: I offered to accept $19.50 to let him out of our $20.00 bet early. He politely declined.)
Bad beats:
-Andy Bloch is dead to me. As are ElkY (Grospellier) and Hellmuth, my top two picks.
-How did neither of us pick John Juanda?? He has gone deep in more than his fair share of tourneys this year.
-Where the hell did Jeff Lisandro come from????? Three bracelets, in three different Stud variants? Are you kidding me?? (He actually won the tourney I played in ...)
-Billy made a terrible move by suggesting we change the league from 10 players to 15. David Williams, Roland de Wolfe, and Matt Glantz are the only reasons I'm alive in this thing ... all he's gotten out of it are a few sparing points from Shannon Shorr and that single Ted Forrest point. Ouch.
But I made a YOOGE comeback. After being down some 40-odd points, I have roared back to open up a nine-point advantage, thanks to Erik Seidel, Roland de Wolfe (who won his first bracelet and completed the so-called 'Triple Crown of Poker"), and Barry Greenstein all making two final tables each. J.C. Tran ran over his final table on his way to a bracelet as well, and David Williams, Max Pescatori, and Matt Glantz all chipped in.
Now I just have to fade the Main Event and I'm home free. But even though the Main Event is such a ridiculous beast that it's conceivable that no name pro will ever win it again, with the way I run in prop bets against Billy, I won't feel safe until he is drawing completely dead.
(I did allow myself a bit of a gloat, however: I offered to accept $19.50 to let him out of our $20.00 bet early. He politely declined.)
Bad beats:
-Andy Bloch is dead to me. As are ElkY (Grospellier) and Hellmuth, my top two picks.
-How did neither of us pick John Juanda?? He has gone deep in more than his fair share of tourneys this year.
-Where the hell did Jeff Lisandro come from????? Three bracelets, in three different Stud variants? Are you kidding me?? (He actually won the tourney I played in ...)
-Billy made a terrible move by suggesting we change the league from 10 players to 15. David Williams, Roland de Wolfe, and Matt Glantz are the only reasons I'm alive in this thing ... all he's gotten out of it are a few sparing points from Shannon Shorr and that single Ted Forrest point. Ouch.
Friday, June 5, 2009
Miscalculation
I had a bit of a setback on Wednesday night. Went and played some cash stud during offpeak hours (weeknights -EV) and got killed. I was doing a pretty good job of staying even, hanging with the tough grinders there at Commerce. But then I lost a big pot. Basically an idiot with a huge beard cold-called a 3bet on 5th street with a gutshot draw, even though the three betters had all just paired their door cards. I was 3betting my trip 7s against 8's showing and 2's showing, because 8's were dead. Beardo needed a 7 for his straight and stayed in even though I was SCREAMING that I had trip 7's. On the next street, the idiot bricked, the 2's caught my fourth 7, and I caught crap. Beardo grimaced and said that he needed a 7, and then mucked on 6th street. I ended up losing a big pot to a 2's full boat. Steamboat in my case. Ugh. Uncle Tilty showed up and then it was a slow bleed to death from that point on. I should know better than to go to Commerce on a weeknight ... game selection, ai ya.
So I wasn't sure where that left me. My goal of playing Wednesday night was to get myself off the fence and give myself that final shot of confidence (and extra cash) I needed to play in the WSOP. But losing made me more confused than ever. I have been telling more and more people that I'm playing the tourney, in an attempt to shame myself into playing. "You can't back out now, J ... then you'll have to tell everyone that you wussed out." I think it is probably going to work.
Phil Ivey (my favorite poker player other than myself ... awww screw it, I got a man-crush on this brotha) won his 6th bracelet last night after going three WSOP without winning one. Rumor has it that he tipped his entire winnings (over $96k for first place) to the dealer staff, presumably because he made so much money on sidebets. I know he has a standing bet with Daniel Negreanu that they have to pay each other $200k if one of them wins a bracelet. And Phil obviously had several other specific bets with various individuals ... he won't talk about the bets other than to acknowledge their existence. So it's all speculation, but I've heard he might have made as much as $10M in bracelet prop bets. Honestly, I would not put it past him. Ballin' ...
Anyway, I'm happy for Phil, but this is pretty devastating for the fantasy league wager with Billy. I was riding high Wednesday night when I found out Max Pescatori took 4th place in the $10k Stud, good for 8.5 points. But then Ivey snags a bracelet for 20 points, bringing the tally to Billy 21, Jamin 8.5. (Forrest earned Billy a point for taking ninth in the $40k event). And Daniel is currently chip-leading the $10k Mixed Championship through Day 1. This fantasy league could be a rout in the making ...
My new tentative plan is to try and satellite into the event. If it hadn't been for recent things that had come up financially (in addition to a downswing in cash games) I would be playing the event no question. But as it stands, I have about $2,300 total to gamble/eat/party with. That is cutting it somewhat close if I drop $1,500 on the tourney ... definitely a short roll for a three-day trip. The satellites are supposed to be really soft ... I'm confident I can win the entry. But it is sort of a matter of will I have enough time. I am arriving the day of. So chances are I'll have to play perhaps two satellites, AND register for the tourney. And sometimes the satellites have waits. I have pretty much given up on the napping idea. I think I will just have to hit the ground running.
Anyway, I know this post was a bit of a ramble ... not a literary achievement by any stretch of the imag. But, I gtg. Check out the Twitter update feed on the sidebar while I"m gone ------>
Peace!
So I wasn't sure where that left me. My goal of playing Wednesday night was to get myself off the fence and give myself that final shot of confidence (and extra cash) I needed to play in the WSOP. But losing made me more confused than ever. I have been telling more and more people that I'm playing the tourney, in an attempt to shame myself into playing. "You can't back out now, J ... then you'll have to tell everyone that you wussed out." I think it is probably going to work.
Phil Ivey (my favorite poker player other than myself ... awww screw it, I got a man-crush on this brotha) won his 6th bracelet last night after going three WSOP without winning one. Rumor has it that he tipped his entire winnings (over $96k for first place) to the dealer staff, presumably because he made so much money on sidebets. I know he has a standing bet with Daniel Negreanu that they have to pay each other $200k if one of them wins a bracelet. And Phil obviously had several other specific bets with various individuals ... he won't talk about the bets other than to acknowledge their existence. So it's all speculation, but I've heard he might have made as much as $10M in bracelet prop bets. Honestly, I would not put it past him. Ballin' ...
Anyway, I'm happy for Phil, but this is pretty devastating for the fantasy league wager with Billy. I was riding high Wednesday night when I found out Max Pescatori took 4th place in the $10k Stud, good for 8.5 points. But then Ivey snags a bracelet for 20 points, bringing the tally to Billy 21, Jamin 8.5. (Forrest earned Billy a point for taking ninth in the $40k event). And Daniel is currently chip-leading the $10k Mixed Championship through Day 1. This fantasy league could be a rout in the making ...
My new tentative plan is to try and satellite into the event. If it hadn't been for recent things that had come up financially (in addition to a downswing in cash games) I would be playing the event no question. But as it stands, I have about $2,300 total to gamble/eat/party with. That is cutting it somewhat close if I drop $1,500 on the tourney ... definitely a short roll for a three-day trip. The satellites are supposed to be really soft ... I'm confident I can win the entry. But it is sort of a matter of will I have enough time. I am arriving the day of. So chances are I'll have to play perhaps two satellites, AND register for the tourney. And sometimes the satellites have waits. I have pretty much given up on the napping idea. I think I will just have to hit the ground running.
Anyway, I know this post was a bit of a ramble ... not a literary achievement by any stretch of the imag. But, I gtg. Check out the Twitter update feed on the sidebar while I"m gone ------>
Peace!
Tuesday, June 2, 2009
WSOP Fantasy League
This is my first time trying this. It was kind of a last-minute deal ... I asked Billy the day before Event #2** if he was interested in gambling, and of course he said yes. So just like that, we've got ourselves a heads-up fantasy league.
Each of us made a prioritized list of players we would choose, and then we flipped a coin to see whose list would kick off the draft. The way I run in coinflip situations, it should be no surprise that Billy was able to select Phil Ivey as the number one overall draft pick. But I was okay with that, because my first choice was also a Phil -- this one of the Hellmuth variety. In fact, I was able to get my first eight picks through no problem. Our complete lists are below ...
Jamin - Urteamcantspellpokr
Phil Hellmuth, Jr.
Bertrand Grospellier
Erik Seidel
Max Pescatori
Kathy Liebert
Nenad Medic
Andy Bloch
Shaun Deeb
Barry Greenstein
J.C. Tran
Matt Glantz
Mike Matusow
Roland De Wolfe
Michael DeMichele
David Williams
Billy - Guillermo de los Gringos
Phil Ivey
David Benyamine
Chris Ferguson
Daniel Negreanu
Tom Schneider
Erik Lindgren
John Phan
Scotty Nguyen
Michael Mizrachi
Allen Cunningham
David Tran
Ted Forrest
Marcel Luske
Shannon Shorr
Robert Mizrachi
Notable Cockblocks: I was barely able to pick up Andy Bloch ahead of Billy. I think it was a real coup to be able to get him so late in the draft (14th overall pick). The guy has a really great tournament record ... to wit, two WPT final tables and twenty WSOP cashes, including finishing runner-up to Chip Reese in the inaugural $50,000 H.O.R.S.E. event over one of the toughest fields ever assembled. No bracelets yet, but in our league you get points for all final table finishes. So I think he'll turn out to be a solid earner.
Of course, there is another side to this. I really wanted Ted Forrest, but somehow I let him slip to 23rd overall!! The guy has five bracelets, and twenty-one WSOP cashes. He's also won two WPT titles on five final tables. This was a major mistake on my part, which has already come back to bite me in the ass. Through three completed events, Ted Forrest is so far the only drafted player to earn any points (by taking 9th place at the $40,000 buy-in WSOP 40th Anniversary Special). Grrrr, the Suicide King! The one that got away!
**We started counting at Event #2, because Event #1 was the Casino Employees tournament. I don't think either of us were planning to draft Andrew Cohen ... whoever he is.
Each of us made a prioritized list of players we would choose, and then we flipped a coin to see whose list would kick off the draft. The way I run in coinflip situations, it should be no surprise that Billy was able to select Phil Ivey as the number one overall draft pick. But I was okay with that, because my first choice was also a Phil -- this one of the Hellmuth variety. In fact, I was able to get my first eight picks through no problem. Our complete lists are below ...
Jamin - Urteamcantspellpokr
Phil Hellmuth, Jr.
Bertrand Grospellier
Erik Seidel
Max Pescatori
Kathy Liebert
Nenad Medic
Andy Bloch
Shaun Deeb
Barry Greenstein
J.C. Tran
Matt Glantz
Mike Matusow
Roland De Wolfe
Michael DeMichele
David Williams
Billy - Guillermo de los Gringos
Phil Ivey
David Benyamine
Chris Ferguson
Daniel Negreanu
Tom Schneider
Erik Lindgren
John Phan
Scotty Nguyen
Michael Mizrachi
Allen Cunningham
David Tran
Ted Forrest
Marcel Luske
Shannon Shorr
Robert Mizrachi
Notable Cockblocks: I was barely able to pick up Andy Bloch ahead of Billy. I think it was a real coup to be able to get him so late in the draft (14th overall pick). The guy has a really great tournament record ... to wit, two WPT final tables and twenty WSOP cashes, including finishing runner-up to Chip Reese in the inaugural $50,000 H.O.R.S.E. event over one of the toughest fields ever assembled. No bracelets yet, but in our league you get points for all final table finishes. So I think he'll turn out to be a solid earner.
Of course, there is another side to this. I really wanted Ted Forrest, but somehow I let him slip to 23rd overall!! The guy has five bracelets, and twenty-one WSOP cashes. He's also won two WPT titles on five final tables. This was a major mistake on my part, which has already come back to bite me in the ass. Through three completed events, Ted Forrest is so far the only drafted player to earn any points (by taking 9th place at the $40,000 buy-in WSOP 40th Anniversary Special). Grrrr, the Suicide King! The one that got away!
**We started counting at Event #2, because Event #1 was the Casino Employees tournament. I don't think either of us were planning to draft Andrew Cohen ... whoever he is.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
